Parma 1–2 Bologna: Result & Analysis

Bologna beat Parma 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Parma: 25%, Draw: 26%, Bologna: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Bologna (49%) away: they create 1.7 goals/game against Parma's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.0–1.5.

Head to Head

Parma and Bologna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

7 Nov 2026 — Parma 1–2 Bologna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Arthur Theate 53'.

8 Feb 2026 — Bologna 0–1 Parma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Christian Ordóñez 90'.

2 Nov 2025 — Parma 1–3 Bologna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Adrián Bernabé 1', Santiago Castro 17', Santiago Castro 68', Juan Miranda 90'.

22 Feb 2025 — Parma 2–0 Bologna (2024/2025).

6 Oct 2024 — Bologna 0–0 Parma (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Parma winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Parma vs Bologna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Parma vs Bologna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.