Parma 0–1 Cagliari: Result & Analysis

Cagliari beat Parma 1–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Parma: 50%, Draw: 28%, Cagliari: 22%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 50%).

The model favours Parma (50%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Cagliari are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.4–0.8.

Head to Head

Parma and Cagliari have met 5 times in the records we hold.

22 Aug 2026 — Parma 0–1 Cagliari (2026/2027).

Scorers: Alessandro Romano 79'.

27 Feb 2026 — Parma 1–1 Cagliari (2025/2026).

Scorers: Michael Folorunsho 62', Gaetano Oristanio 83'.

13 Sep 2025 — Cagliari 2–0 Parma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Yerry Mina 33', Mattia Felici  77'.

9 Feb 2025 — Cagliari 2–1 Parma (2024/2025).

30 Sep 2024 — Parma 2–3 Cagliari (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Cagliari hold the edge (0W · 1D · 4L), with Parma winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Parma vs Cagliari: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Parma vs Cagliari call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.