Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta de Vigo: Result & Analysis

Rayo Vallecano beat Celta de Vigo 3–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Rayo Vallecano: 37%, Draw: 34%, Celta de Vigo: 29%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 37%).

The model favours Rayo Vallecano (37%) at home: they create 1.1 goals/game against Celta de Vigo's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.9–0.8.

Head to Head

Rayo Vallecano and Celta de Vigo have met 5 times in the records we hold.

31 Oct 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta de Vigo (2026/2027).

Scorers: Jorge de Frutos 36', Jorge de Frutos 55', Unai López 73'.

18 Jan 2026 — Celta de Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).

Scorers: Sergio Carreira 40', Javi Rueda 79'.

21 Sep 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta de Vigo (2025/2026).

Scorers: Borja Iglesias 49', Jorge de Frutos 65'.

18 May 2025 — Celta de Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).

Scorers: Isi Palazón 17', Jorge de Frutos 45'.

10 Jan 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta de Vigo (2024/2025).

Scorers: Adrián Embarba 5', Borja Iglesias 26', Jorge de Frutos 63'.

Over the last 5 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Rayo Vallecano winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.