St. Pauli 0–5 FC Bayern München: Result & Analysis

FC Bayern München beat St. Pauli 5–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — St. Pauli: 5%, Draw: 8%, FC Bayern München: 87%. Predicted scoreline was 0–3 (confidence 87%).

The model favours FC Bayern München (87%) away: they create 2.8 goals/game and St. Pauli are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.8–3.6.

Head to Head

St. Pauli and FC Bayern München have met 4 times in the records we hold.

11 Apr 2026 — St. Pauli 0–5 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jamal Musiala 9', Leon Goretzka 53', Michael Olise 54', Nicolas Jackson 65'.

29 Nov 2025 — FC Bayern München 3–1 St. Pauli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Andréas Hountondji 6', Raphaël Guerreiro 44', Luis Díaz 90', Nicolas Jackson 90'.

29 Mar 2025 — FC Bayern München 3–2 St. Pauli (2024/2025).

9 Nov 2024 — St. Pauli 0–1 FC Bayern München (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (0W · 0D · 4L), with St. Pauli winning 0 of 4 and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on St. Pauli vs FC Bayern München: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every St. Pauli vs FC Bayern München call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.