St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg: Result & Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg beat St. Pauli 3–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — St. Pauli: 23%, Draw: 26%, VfL Wolfsburg: 51%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 52%).

The model favours VfL Wolfsburg (52%) away: they create 1.2 goals/game and St. Pauli are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.5.

Head to Head

St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg have met 4 times in the records we hold.

16 May 2026 — St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Konstantinos Koulierakis 37', Abdoulie Ceesay 57', Nikola Vasilj 64', Dzenan Pejcinovic 80'.

14 Jan 2026 — VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 St. Pauli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Eric Smith 40', Dzenan Pejcinovic 88'.

8 Mar 2025 — VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 St. Pauli (2024/2025).

26 Oct 2024 — St. Pauli 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings VfL Wolfsburg hold the edge (0W · 2D · 2L), with St. Pauli winning 0 of 4 and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.