Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre: Result & Analysis
Toulouse beat Le Havre 3–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Toulouse: 79%, Draw: 14%, Le Havre: 7%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 79%).
The model favours Toulouse (79%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Le Havre are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.7–0.7.
Head to Head
Toulouse and Le Havre have met 5 times in the records we hold.
19 Sep 2026 — Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre (2026/2027).
Scorers: Casper Tengstedt 51', Josh Maja 71', Thomas Jørgensen 79', Ally Samatta 88'.
15 Feb 2026 — Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse (2025/2026).
Scorers: Issa Soumaré 43', Djibril Sidibé 45', Issa Soumaré 53'.
2 Nov 2025 — Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre (2025/2026).
23 Feb 2025 — Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse (2024/2025).
15 Sep 2024 — Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Toulouse hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Toulouse winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Toulouse vs Le Havre: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Toulouse vs Le Havre call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.