Troyes 1–3 Lens: Result & Analysis

Lens beat Troyes 3–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Troyes: 24%, Draw: 26%, Lens: 50%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 50%).

The model favours Lens (50%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game against Troyes's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.0–1.5.

Head to Head

Troyes and Lens have met 1 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Troyes 1–3 Lens (2026/2027).

Scorers: Adrien Monfray 13', Timothé Nkada 26', Odsonne Édouard 45', Ruben Aguilar 55'.

Over the last 1 meetings Lens hold the edge (0W · 0D · 1L), with Troyes winning 0 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Troyes vs Lens: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Troyes vs Lens call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.