Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis

Fiorentina beat Venezia 4–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Venezia: 44%, Draw: 25%, Fiorentina: 31%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 44%).

The model favours Venezia (44%) at home: they create 1.0 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.2.

Head to Head

Venezia and Fiorentina have met 3 times in the records we hold.

11 Sep 2026 — Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina (2026/2027).

Scorers: Akor Adams 22', Franco Mastantuono 29', Franco Mastantuono 30', Mateo Pellegrino 66'.

12 May 2025 — Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina (2024/2025).

25 Aug 2024 — Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia (2024/2025).

Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Venezia winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Venezia vs Fiorentina: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Venezia vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.