VfB Stuttgart 4–1 FC Köln: Result & Analysis

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Köln 4–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — VfB Stuttgart: 70%, Draw: 17%, FC Köln: 13%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 70%).

The model favours VfB Stuttgart (70%) at home: they create 2.0 goals/game against FC Köln's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.5–1.0.

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart and FC Köln have met 3 times in the records we hold.

4 Sep 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 4–1 FC Köln (2026/2027).

Scorers: Bilal El Khannouss 39', Grischa Prömel 60', Ermedin Demirovic 75', Ramon Hendriks 81'.

14 Feb 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ermedin Demirovic 15', Ragnar Ache 79', Ermedin Demirovic 84', Deniz Undav 90'.

28 Sep 2025 — FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jakub Kamiński 4', Josha Vagnoman 81'.

Over the last 3 meetings VfB Stuttgart hold the edge (3W · 0D · 0L), with VfB Stuttgart winning 3 of 3 and averaging 3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on VfB Stuttgart vs FC Köln: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every VfB Stuttgart vs FC Köln call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.