Villarreal 4–2 Sevilla: Result & Analysis

Villarreal beat Sevilla 4–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Villarreal: 66%, Draw: 20%, Sevilla: 14%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 66%).

The model favours Villarreal (66%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game and Sevilla are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.0–0.8.

Head to Head

Villarreal and Sevilla have met 4 times in the records we hold.

13 May 2026 — Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gerard Moreno 13', Georges Mikautadze 20', Oso 36', Kike Salas 45'.

23 Sep 2025 — Sevilla 1–2 Villarreal (2025/2026).

Scorers: Tani Oluwaseyi 17', Djibril Sow 51', Manor Solomon 86'.

25 May 2025 — Villarreal 4–2 Sevilla (2024/2025).

Scorers: Yéremy Pino 4', Pape Gueye 8', Djibril Sow 29', Álex Baena 39'.

23 Aug 2024 — Sevilla 1–2 Villarreal (2024/2025).

Scorers: Arnaut Danjuma 2', Dodi Lukébakio 45', Ayoze Pérez 90'.

Over the last 4 meetings Villarreal hold the edge (3W · 0D · 1L), with Villarreal winning 3 of 4 and averaging 2.5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Villarreal vs Sevilla: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Villarreal vs Sevilla call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.