Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots 1.5: 95% over (projected 4.7, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva (Real Madrid)

Shots 1.5: 98% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 10 games); Assists 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 10 games); Tackles 1.5: 70% under (projected 1.1, SeasonStats over 10 games).

Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 36 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 82% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Pedro Díaz Fanjul (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Pathé Ciss (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Goals 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Shots 1.5: 85% under (projected 0.7, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid)

Shots 1.5: 96% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 28 games); Goals 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 28 games); Assists 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 28 games).

Sergio Camello Pérez (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 22 games); Tackles 1.5: 91% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 22 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 87% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 22 games).

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Rayo Vallecano stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.