Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 42% at 2.25, model 56%.

Draw — market 27% at 3.50, model 25%.

Home — market 31% at 3.10, model 19%.

Double Chance

CD Alaves or Draw — market 58% at 1.61, model 44%.

CD Alaves or Villarreal — market 73% at 1.28, model 75%.

Draw or Villarreal — market 69% at 1.36, model 81%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 42% at 2.20, model 26%.

2 — market 58% at 1.61, model 74%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 44% at 2.10, model 54%.

Yes — market 56% at 1.66, model 46%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 53% at 1.80, model 45%.

Under — market 47% at 2.00, model 55%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 20% at 4.50.

6 - 8 — market 29% at 3.00.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.62.

Over 14 — market 8% at 11.00.

Explore

Deportivo Alavés stats & form · Villarreal stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.