Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal: Result & Analysis
Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Deportivo Alavés: 19%, Draw: 25%, Villarreal: 56%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 56%).
The model favours Villarreal (56%) away: they create 1.3 goals/game and Deportivo Alavés are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.8–1.6.
Head to Head
Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal have met 5 times in the records we hold.
28 Aug 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal (2026/2027).
Scorers: Lucas Boyé 31'.
13 Mar 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Villarreal (2025/2026).
Scorers: Rafa Marín 40', Nicolas Pépé 90'.
10 Jan 2026 — Villarreal 3–1 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).
Scorers: Alberto Moleiro 49', Gerard Moreno 55', Georges Mikautadze 75', Toni Martínez 85'.
8 Mar 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal (2024/2025).
Scorers: Manu Sánchez 11'.
9 Nov 2024 — Villarreal 3–0 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).
Scorers: Ilias Akhomach 38', Dani Parejo 81', Santi Comesaña 90'.
Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Deportivo Alavés winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.
Explore
More on Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.