FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat FSV Mainz 05 4–3 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Team Prop

Bayer 04 Leverkusen — OVER (team_clean_sheet 0.5), projected 1, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 2 matchs.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen projected 1.00 clean sheet/game (SeasonStats, n=2); OVER 0.5 (95%).

Player Prop

Patrik Schick — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.36, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 28 matchs.

Patrik Schick (Bayer 04 Leverkusen) averaging 0.36 tackles/game over 28 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Patrik Schick — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 28 matchs.

Patrik Schick (Bayer 04 Leverkusen) averaging 0.04 yellow card/game over 28 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Mark Flekken — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 24 matchs.

Mark Flekken (Bayer 04 Leverkusen) averaging 0.04 yellow card/game over 24 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Moussa Diaby — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.17, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 6 matchs.

Moussa Diaby (Bayer 04 Leverkusen) averaging 0.17 tackles/game over 6 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — PASS (match_result), projected 0.46, confidence 46%, HIGH risk.

No clear match result edge (46% for AWAY).

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FSV Mainz 05 stats & form · Bayer 04 Leverkusen stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.