FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis
Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat FSV Mainz 05 4–3 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — FSV Mainz 05: 36%, Draw: 18%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 46%. Predicted scoreline was 2–3 (confidence 46%).
The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (46%) away: they create 2.1 goals/game and FSV Mainz 05 are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–2.9.
Head to Head
FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have met 5 times in the records we hold.
10 Oct 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2026/2027).
Scorers: Robert Andrich 5', Patrik Schick 9', Anthony Caci 33', Anthony Caci 42'.
28 Feb 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).
Scorers: Sheraldo Becker 67', Jarell Quansah 88'.
18 Oct 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).
Scorers: Christian Kofane 24', Jae-sung Lee 34', Alejandro Grimaldo 45', Martin Terrier 87'.
17 May 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).
14 Jan 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Bayer 04 Leverkusen hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with FSV Mainz 05 winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 1.8 goals per game.
Explore
More on FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.