TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund: Result & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Team Prop

TSG Hoffenheim — OVER (team_clean_sheet 0.5), projected 1, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 1 match.

TSG Hoffenheim projected 1.00 clean sheet/game (SeasonStats, n=1); OVER 0.5 (95%).

Player Prop

Serhou Guirassy — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.06, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.06 tackles/game over 33 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Julian Ryerson — UNDER (player_shots_on_target 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.03 shots on target/game over 31 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Kouakou Henry-Joane Aaron Aimerick Gadou — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.22, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 9 matchs.

Kouakou Henry-Joane Aaron Aimerick Gadou (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.22 shots/game over 9 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Filippo Calixte Mane — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.25, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 4 matchs.

Filippo Calixte Mane (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.25 tackles/game over 4 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — PASS (match_result), projected 0.41, confidence 41%, HIGH risk.

No clear match result edge (41% for AWAY).

Explore

TSG Hoffenheim stats & form · Borussia Dortmund stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.