TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund: Result & Analysis
Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — TSG Hoffenheim: 36%, Draw: 23%, Borussia Dortmund: 41%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 41%).
The model favours Borussia Dortmund (41%) away: they create 1.7 goals/game against TSG Hoffenheim's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.6–1.7.
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund have met 5 times in the records we hold.
5 Sep 2026 — TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund (2026/2027).
Scorers: Leon Avdullahu 45', Tim Lemperle 54', Serhou Guirassy 61', Fábio Silva 66'.
18 Apr 2026 — TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).
Scorers: Serhou Guirassy 87'.
7 Dec 2025 — Borussia Dortmund 2–0 TSG Hoffenheim (2025/2026).
Scorers: Julian Brandt 43', Nico Schlotterbeck 60'.
26 Apr 2025 — TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund (2024/2025).
15 Dec 2024 — Borussia Dortmund 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Borussia Dortmund hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with TSG Hoffenheim winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.