Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Team Prop

Rayo Vallecano — OVER (team_clean_sheet 0.5), projected 1, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 1 match.

Rayo Vallecano projected 1.00 clean sheet/game (SeasonStats, n=1); OVER 0.5 (95%).

Player Prop

Thibaut Courtois — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 tackles/game over 32 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Thibaut Courtois — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 yellow card/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.13, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid) averaging 0.13 tackles/game over 31 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Álvaro Carreras — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.32, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 28 matchs.

Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) averaging 0.32 shots/game over 28 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.8, confidence 80%, LOW risk.

Model favours HOME with 80% probability based on season goals form.

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Rayo Vallecano stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.